Charlton vs Bolton
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 03 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 14 • The Valley • 🌦 10.4°C, 15 km/h, 0.3mm drizzle
Snapshotted at publish: No at 2.38 (46.0%, Model EV +9.5%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 03 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 2.23 → 2.34 ▲5% | Dafabet2.34 | 41.7% | -2.4% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.30 | 73% | -5.1% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair2.38 | 46% · Yes 54% | +9.5% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Pinnacle2.14 | 47.3% · Over 52.7% | +1.2% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Bet3659.50 | 9% | -14.5% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.8 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Pinnacle1.70 | 59% · Under 41% | +0.3% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Charlton · Home
Charlton have taken points in both recent home meetings with Bolton, winning 2-0 at home in August 2024, and they drew 1-1 with Bristol City at home in their latest home outing. Their last five matches produced 4 goals for and 11 against, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
Bolton · Away
Bolton's latest H2H trip to Charlton ended in a 1-2 away win in January 2025, and they also drew 3-3 at home in February 2024. Their last five matches brought 7 goals for and 11 against, including the 3-1 win at Wolves.
Charlton's Home H2H Edge
The H2H record gives the home pick a realistic base: Charlton won 2-0 at home against Bolton in August 2024, while the latest meeting was Bolton's 1-2 home win in January 2025. Charlton's recent home draw was 1-1 against Bristol City, and their recent record shows 2 draws from 5 matches. Bolton's away results include the 3-1 win at Wolves and a 0-0 draw at Southampton, so the away side is not without threat. The evidence supports Charlton win.
Published 03 Nov 2026 04:47 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Charlton 1.39 – 1.22 Bolton · expected total 2.60
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Charlton
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Charlton
Bolton
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
Charlton
Bolton
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Charlton at home · Bolton away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Charlton (home)
Bolton (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bolton 5 wins · 2 draws · Charlton 3 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 8 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2025 | Bolton | 1–2 | Charlton | League One |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Charlton | 2–0 | Bolton | League One |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Bolton | 3–3 | Charlton | League One |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Charlton | 0–2 | Bolton | League One |
| 28 Jan 2023 | Charlton | 1–2 | Bolton | League One |
| 03 Sep 2022 | Bolton | 3–1 | Charlton | League One |
| 08 Feb 2022 | Bolton | 2–1 | Charlton | League One |
| 28 Sep 2021 | Charlton | 1–4 | Bolton | League One |
| 28 Jan 2017 | Bolton | 1–2 | Charlton | League One |
| 27 Aug 2016 | Charlton | 1–1 | Bolton | League One |
📈 Recent Form
Charlton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Middlesbrough | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Norwich | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Watford | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 13/10 | Burnley | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 10/10 | Bristol City | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Cardiff | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Portsmouth | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 09/09 | QPR | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Stoke City | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 02/09 | West Brom | Away | 1–1 | D |
Bolton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bristol City | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 23/10 | Middlesbrough | Home | 1–5 | L |
| 17/10 | Southampton | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 13/10 | Wolves | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Stoke City | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Norwich | Away | 4–3 | W |
| 12/09 | Cardiff | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 08/09 | West Ham | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 05/09 | Millwall | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 01/09 | Sheffield Utd | Away | 2–3 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
Charlton #20 · 14 pts · Bolton #19 · 14 pts
Charlton
Bolton
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Charlton
Bolton
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Charlton
- ❌ J. Edwards: Ankle Injury
- ❌ C. Kelman: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ M. Mbick: Knee Injury
- ❌ K. Ramsay: Ankle Injury
- ❌ M. Godden: Muscle Injury
- ❌ B. Koumetio: Muscle Injury
- ❌ W. Mannion: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ C. Sichenje: Knee Injury
- ❌ N. Chalobah: Muscle Injury
- ❌ D. McNamara: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ R. Apter: Knee Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): T. Ouma (Lacking Match Fitness).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): R. Burke; not counted as confirmed absences.
Bolton
- ❌ R. Rodrigues: Knee Injury
- ❌ X. Simons: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ L. Brunt: Injury
- ❌ C. Forino-Joseph: Groin Injury
- ❌ E. Erhahon: Thigh Injury
- ❌ R. Hardie: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ J. McAtee: Knee Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): L. Stephenson, J. Nelson; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: Steve Martin