1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 17:30 UTC+3 • Round 9 • RheinEnergieStadion • ☁️ 11.2°C, 5 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 08 Nov 2026 13:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away 1.76 → 1.89 ▲7% | SBO1.89 | 48.4% | -8.5% |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1xBet1.26 | 76.6% | -3.5% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.50 | 62.9% · No 37.1% | -5.7% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betano1.52 | 62.5% · Under 37.5% | -5% |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Betano9.00 | 7.8% | -29.8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.5 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Pinnacle1.61 | 63.3% · Under 36.7% | +1.9% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
1. FC Köln · Home
1. FC Köln have scored eight goals across their last five matches, including a 5-0 home win over Union Berlin, though they failed to score in two of those games. Their most recent meeting with Leverkusen ended in a 1-2 home defeat.
Bayer Leverkusen · Away
Bayer Leverkusen have won two of their last five, scoring nine goals but conceding ten, with a 5-2 home win over Nürnberg standing out. They have won all three supplied head-to-head meetings, including 1-2 at Köln and 2-0 at home.
Leverkusen's Head-to-Head Edge
The latest head-to-head, a 1-2 Leverkusen win at Köln on 25 Apr 2026, fits the published correct score of 1-2. Leverkusen have taken all three supplied meetings, also winning 2-0 at home and 0-2 in Köln. Köln's recent 5-0 win over Union Berlin shows they can score at home, so a one-goal Leverkusen margin is realistic rather than a rout. The evidence supports Bayer Leverkusen win.
Published 08 Nov 2026 10:46 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: 1. FC Köln 1.66 – 1.44 Bayer Leverkusen · expected total 3.10
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
1. FC Köln
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Bundesliga
1. FC Köln
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Bayer Leverkusen
Rank among 18 Bundesliga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
1. FC Köln at home · Bayer Leverkusen away, the split that matters for this fixture.
1. FC Köln (home)
Bayer Leverkusen (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
1. FC Köln 2 wins · 1 draw · Bayer Leverkusen 6 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 4 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | 1. FC Köln | 1–2 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2–0 | 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| 03 Mar 2024 | 1. FC Köln | 0–2 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 08 Oct 2023 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3–0 | 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| 05 May 2023 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1–2 | 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| 09 Nov 2022 | 1. FC Köln | 1–2 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0–1 | 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
| 24 Oct 2021 | 1. FC Köln | 2–2 | Bayer Leverkusen | Bundesliga |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3–0 | 1. FC Köln | Bundesliga |
📈 Recent Form
1. FC Köln
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Union Berlin | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 27/10 | Union Berlin | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 24/10 | FC Schalke 04 | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 16/10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | FC Viktoria Köln | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Hamburger SV | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Werder Bremen | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 04/09 | VfB Stuttgart | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 29/08 | 1899 Hoffenheim | Home | 3–2 | W |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Marseille | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 31/10 | VfB Stuttgart | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 28/10 | 1. FC Nürnberg | Home | 5–2 | W |
| 25/10 | 1899 Hoffenheim | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 22/10 | OFI | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 18/10 | SC Freiburg | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 15/10 | Lech Poznan | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 10/10 | FSV Mainz 05 | Away | 4–3 | W |
| 20/09 | RB Leipzig | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Celje | Home | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Bundesliga
1. FC Köln #15 · 9 pts · Bayer Leverkusen #6 · 13 pts
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
1. FC Köln
- ❌ T. Hubers: Knee Injury
- ❌ S. Sebulonsen: Muscle Injury
- ❌ L. Waldschmidt: Muscle Injury
- ❌ T. Dallinga: Illness
- ❌ S. El Mala: Illness
- ❌ P. Okon-Engstler: Injury
- ❌ R. Ache: Thigh Injury
- ❌ A. Castro-Montes: Muscle Injury
- ❌ E. Skhiri: Ankle Injury
- ❌ R. van den Berg: Muscle Injury
- ❌ I. Rondic: Injury
Bayer Leverkusen
- ❌ E. Ben Seghir: Thigh Injury
- ❌ M. Culbreath: Injury
- ❌ K. Eichhorn: Illness
- ❌ M. Terrier: Muscle Injury
- ❌ G. Doue: Injury
- ❌ N. Tella: Injury
- ❌ C. Kofane: Muscle Injury
- ❌ L. Bade: Head Injury
- ❌ M. Diaby: Hamstring Injury
More: Bundesliga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws
Referee: Felix Zwayer